Scientific journal
Scientific Review. Technical science
ISSN 2500-0799
ПИ №ФС77-57440

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PROBABILISTIC AND STATISTICAL MODEL TO PREDICT THE UNIT COST OF PRODUCTION RESOURCES

Logachev V.N. 1
1 Voronezh State Academy of Forestry Engineering and Technologies
Currently, the construction of forest roads in the Russian Federation is in unstable production and economic conditions due not only to the probabilistic nature of the road construction industry in general and resource consumption in particular, but also the current trend of rising resource costs and increase resource consumption objects. To improve the reliability of the adopted organizational and technological solutions forecasting the cost of road-building materials is performed within the confidence interval with a given level of reliability. This approach reduces the risk associated with an unexpected increase in selling prices of building materials or an increase in transportation costs. In order to optimize organizational and technological solutions to ensure the construction , repair and maintenance of forest roads materials , semi-finished goods , fuels and lubricants , a mathematical model for prediction of the resource cost of production for the period of road construction works .